Europa League · Thursday, November 5 · 1:00 PM
Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille: our numbers
- Goals expected: over 2.5 at 69%
- Both teams score: 63%
- Bayer Leverkusen create more: 2.4 expected goals to 1.1
Bayer Leverkusen2–1
Predicted score
xG 2.4–1.1
MarseilleBayer Leverkusen 65%Draw 19%16% Marseille
Our model blended with the sharpest sportsbook's odds, so late team news is already in.
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Most likely scores
- 2–19%
- 1–18%
- 2–08%
- Over 1.5 goals88%
- Over 2.5 goals69%
- Over 3.5 goals48%
- Both teams score63%
- Bayer Leverkusen clean sheet32%
- Marseille clean sheet9%
Team news
Bayer Leverkusen- E. Ben SeghirMuscle
- V. BonifaceOff the roster
- M. DiabyHamstring
- G. DoueCalf
- K. EichhornIllness
Marseille- D. CorneliusHip
- EmersonDoubtful
Also for this match
- Corners
Both teams and the total, every line, with the reasons
- Shots and on target
What we expect from each side, full game and each half
- Cards and fouls
With today's referee taken into account
- Player lines
To score, shots and shots on target for every starter
- Expected lineups
Who we expect to start, with a chance for every player
- Who moves the numbers
How each side changes with and without its key players
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We post how our numbers did after every match, misses included. See our track record
More match previews · 21+ · Statistical estimates, not betting advice · 1-800-GAMBLER